Further Notes on the Basic Reproduction Number

نویسندگان

  • P. van den Driessche
  • James Watmough
چکیده

The basic reproduction number, R0 is a measure of the potential for disease spread in a population. Mathematically, R0 is a threshold for stability of a disease-free equilibrium and is related to the peak and final size of an epidemic. The purpose of these notes is to give a precise definition and algorithm for obtaining R0 for a general compartmental ordinary differential equation model of disease transmission. Several examples of calculating R0 are included, and the epidemiological interpretation of this threshold parameter is connected to the local and global stability of a disease-free equilibrium.

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تاریخ انتشار 1945